Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey May 2013 – Notable Aspects

The May Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published on May 13, 2013.  The headline is “Economic Road Clearing, but the Going is Slow.”

I found numerous items to be notable – although I don’t necessarily agree with them – both within the article and in the Q&A found in the spreadsheet.

Notable excerpts from the article include:

The 52 forecasters, not all of whom answered every question, are unusually unified in their assessment, with few seeing growth significantly faster or slower than the consensus estimate. Asked about economic threats, they cited a familiar litany of concerns—a renewed crisis in Europe, a sharper-than-expected slowdown in China, gridlock in Washington—but even most pessimists saw little threat of a severe downturn. Overall, the economists put the risk of a new recession at just 15%, down from 24% in December.

The current average forecasts among economists polled include the following:


full-year 2013:  2.4%

full-year 2014:  2.8%

full-year 2015:  3.0%

Unemployment Rate:

December 2013: 7.3%

December 2014: 6.7%

December 2015: 6.2%

10-Year Treasury Yield:

December 2013: 2.23%

December 2014: 2.86%

December 2015: 3.48%


Please Note – The above is excerpted from the EconomicGreenfield.com (published by StratX, LLC) post of May 13, 2013, titled “The May 2013 Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey


StratX, LLC offers the above commentary for informational purposes only, and does not necessarily agree with the views expressed by these outside parties.


StratX, LLC is a management consulting firm and strategic advisory that focuses on the analysis of current and future weak(ening) economic conditions, and offers businesses and other entities advice, strategies, and actionable methods on how to optimally adapt to such challenging, complex conditions.